With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.3x Friedman Industries, Incorporated (NASDAQ:FRD) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Friedman Industries has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Friedman Industries
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Friedman Industries' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 43% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 208% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 16% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Friedman Industries' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Friedman Industries revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Friedman Industries that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Friedman Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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