Assessing Americold Realty Trust’s (COLD) Valuation After Holiday Demand Boost, Fed Rate Cut and 2025 Outlook Reaffirmation

Americold Realty Trust (COLD) just rode a holiday and macro tailwind, with shares jumping about 18% last week as investors reacted to stronger seasonal demand, a Fed rate cut, and reaffirmed 2025 guidance.

See our latest analysis for Americold Realty Trust.

That surge sits against a tougher backdrop, with the 30 day share price return now solidly positive while the year to date share price return and one year total shareholder return remain sharply negative, suggesting momentum is only just starting to turn.

If Americold’s rebound has you rethinking your watchlist, this could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other potential turnaround and growth stories.

With the stock still down about 40 percent over the past year, yet trading at a material discount to analyst targets and some intrinsic value estimates, investors now face a key question: Is this a genuine buying opportunity, or is the market already pricing in a sustained recovery in demand and earnings?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 14.7% Undervalued

The most widely followed narrative pegs Americold’s fair value at $15.00 versus a last close of $12.79, hinting at meaningful upside if its recovery path holds.

Barriers to entry in cold storage, such as high capital intensity, know how, and regulatory requirements, restrict new competitors and favor Americold's scale advantages; ongoing investment in technology and partnerships (e.g., CPKC, DP World) enhance operating efficiencies and support improving net margins and future earnings growth potential.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how modest revenue growth, margin rebuild, and a punchy future earnings multiple can still justify upside from here? The full narrative unpacks the math, the timing, and the assumptions behind that recovery story in far more detail.

Result: Fair Value of $15 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, stubborn demand headwinds and elevated leverage could easily derail that recovery path if occupancy, pricing, or development returns disappoint over the coming quarters.

Find out about the key risks to this Americold Realty Trust narrative.

Build Your Own Americold Realty Trust Narrative

If this view does not quite match your own, or you would rather dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom narrative in minutes: Do it your way

A great starting point for your Americold Realty Trust research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

Ready for your next investing move?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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