Kuraray Co., Ltd. (TSE:3405) will pay a dividend of ¥27.00 on the 30th of March. The dividend yield will be 3.4% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Kuraray's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 39.1% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 154%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
View our latest analysis for Kuraray
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥36.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥54.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 4.1% over that duration. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Kuraray has impressed us by growing EPS at 15% per year over the past five years. However, the payout ratio is very high, not leaving much room for growth of the dividend in the future.
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Kuraray's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The company is generating plenty of cash, but we still think the dividend is a bit high for comfort. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 3 warning signs for Kuraray that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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