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To own New World Development today, you need to be comfortable with a highly leveraged, loss‑making property group that is trying to rebalance between Hong Kong and mainland China. Chan Yiu‑Ho’s appointment strengthens the China voice at board level, but it does not materially change the near term focus on liquidity, refinancing and execution risk around debt‑heavy assets.
The recent HK$5.9 billion term loan secured against Victoria Dockside is the most relevant backdrop to this governance change, as it highlights how critical cash flow from core commercial assets has become to funding needs. With China operations now closer to the boardroom, how the group prioritizes capital between Victoria Dockside‑style trophy assets and mainland development projects will sit at the heart of upcoming catalysts.
Yet behind these governance changes, investors should be aware of how heavily Victoria Dockside is now tied to the group’s funding...
Read the full narrative on New World Development (it's free!)
New World Development's narrative projects HK$40.5 billion revenue and HK$1.7 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 4.5% yearly revenue growth and about HK$20.2 billion earnings increase from HK$-18.5 billion today.
Uncover how New World Development's forecasts yield a HK$5.36 fair value, a 24% downside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly HK$2.27 to HK$5.36 per share, underlining how far opinions can diverge. Set these views against the group’s heavy use of secured borrowing on assets like Victoria Dockside, and you can start to see how different risk assumptions may drive very different conclusions about future performance.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on New World Development - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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