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To own Xiaomi, you generally need to believe its large smartphone base can keep feeding a broader hardware plus services ecosystem, even as global handset growth slows and competition stays intense. The Sei partnership could support this ecosystem angle by deepening user engagement outside China, but near term, the main catalyst remains execution on profitable growth across smartphones, AIoT and EVs, while the biggest risk is margin pressure from price competition and elevated R&D and investment needs.
Among recent announcements, Xiaomi’s strong Q3 2025 results, with sales of CNY 113,120.73m and net income of CNY 12,270.87m, are most relevant in framing this news. They show the company entering the Sei rollout from a position of solid recent profitability, but with earnings quality flattered by one off gains and with consensus still expecting only mid‑teens profit growth, which makes future ecosystem monetization and disciplined cost control particularly important catalysts to watch.
Yet behind the excitement around embedded crypto payments, investors should be aware of the risk that intense smartphone and EV competition could still pressure margins and...
Read the full narrative on Xiaomi (it's free!)
Xiaomi's narrative projects CN¥765.2 billion in revenue and CN¥69.6 billion in earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Xiaomi's forecasts yield a HK$58.00 fair value, a 35% upside to its current price.
Sixteen fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly HK$31.49 to HK$80.26, highlighting very different views on Xiaomi’s prospects. When you set this against margin risks from price competition and rising R&D, it underlines why many market participants are weighing both upside from ecosystem expansion and the possibility of more volatile earnings ahead.
Explore 16 other fair value estimates on Xiaomi - why the stock might be worth as much as 87% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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