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To own Erasca, you really have to believe that RAS is a cornerstone oncology target worth funding well before any revenue shows up. The new patent protection on ERAS-0015 to 2043 and the Phase 1 progress for ERAS-0015 and ERAS-4001 help firm up the long-term story, but they do not change the near-term reality that the stock still trades on clinical data and financing risk, not on earnings. The extended cash runway into the second half of 2028 modestly reduces dilution worries and lets management prioritize RAS programs with fewer forced trade-offs, which could sharpen upcoming data readouts as the key catalysts to watch. At the same time, the company is loss making with no forecast revenue, so trial setbacks or muted efficacy signals remain the biggest threat to the thesis.
However, there is one funding-related risk in particular that investors should be aware of. Our valuation report here indicates Erasca may be overvalued.Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Erasca - why the stock might be worth just $4.96!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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