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Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum

Simply Wall St·12/14/2025 09:18:31
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Restaurant Brands International (QSR) has quietly outpaced the broader market over the past 3 months, with the stock up about 11%, as investors reassess its multi brand fast food portfolio.

See our latest analysis for Restaurant Brands International.

Zooming out, the roughly 11% 3 month share price return fits into a steadier pattern, with an 8.1% year to date share price gain and a 5 year total shareholder return of about 35%. This suggests momentum is gradually building as investors warm to its growth and franchise economics.

If this shift in sentiment has you rethinking your watchlist, it could be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other fast moving opportunities.

Yet with earnings growing faster than sales and the shares still trading at a discount to analyst targets and intrinsic estimates, the key question is whether QSR remains undervalued or if the market is already pricing in that future growth.

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 9.1% Undervalued

Compared with Restaurant Brands International's last close at $70.87, the most followed narrative points to a higher fair value and builds a case around durable earnings expansion.

Acceleration in menu innovation (notably at Tim Hortons, Burger King, and across international markets) and the revitalization of core brands (e.g., new product platforms, premium and value menu balance, high profile partnerships, ongoing Burger King "Reclaim the Flame" initiatives) have led to consistent increases in same store sales and customer traffic; these are likely to fuel continued top line growth and margin expansion.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see how steady revenue growth, rising margins, and a richer earnings profile combine into that upside view? The narrative lays out a detailed roadmap of future profit power and the valuation multiple it thinks the market will eventually pay for it.

Result: Fair Value of $77.93 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent cost inflation and execution challenges in key international markets could quickly erode margins and derail the optimistic earnings trajectory.

Find out about the key risks to this Restaurant Brands International narrative.

Build Your Own Restaurant Brands International Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to test your own assumptions against the numbers, you can build a custom narrative in just minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Restaurant Brands International research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.