Stifel Financial (SF): Assessing Valuation After a Strong Multi-Month Share Price Run

Stifel Financial (SF) has quietly put together a strong run, with the stock up over the past month and the past 3 months, as earnings and profitability trends keep leaning in the right direction.

See our latest analysis for Stifel Financial.

That move builds on a solid year, with the share price now at $129.86 and supported by a double digit year to date share price return and very strong multi year total shareholder returns. This suggests momentum is still firmly on Stifel Financial’s side.

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With earnings still climbing and the share price hovering just below analyst targets, the key question now is whether Stifel Financial remains attractively priced or if the market has already fully baked in its future growth.

Most Popular Narrative: Fairly Valued

With Stifel Financial’s last close essentially matching the most widely followed fair value estimate, the narrative frames today’s price as closely aligned with fundamentals.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $117.857 for Stifel Financial based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $132.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $105.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what justifies this near perfect match between model and market? The narrative leans on rising earnings, fatter margins, and a future multiple that quietly shapes the entire valuation story. Curious which assumptions really carry the weight here? Dive in to unpack the full playbook behind this fair value call.

Result: Fair Value of $129.86 (ABOUT RIGHT)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, lingering legal overhangs and ongoing market volatility could quickly undermine these fair value assumptions if sentiment or client activity weakens further.

Find out about the key risks to this Stifel Financial narrative.

Build Your Own Stifel Financial Narrative

If this framing does not quite align with your own view, dig into the numbers yourself and build a personalized narrative in just minutes: Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Stifel Financial.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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