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To own Kenon Holdings today, you need to believe that its mix of energy and shipping-linked assets can keep generating meaningful cash, even as reported earnings swing around. The latest quarter underlines that tension: sales continued to climb to US$265 million, yet net income and earnings per share compressed sharply for both the quarter and year to date, raising fresh questions about margin resilience and earnings quality. That sits uncomfortably beside a generous dividend and buyback story that already looked only loosely covered by free cash flow. In the near term, the key catalyst remains how quickly profitability can recover relative to these capital returns. The appointment of Audrey Low adds useful capital markets and credit expertise, but by itself is unlikely to change the earnings path in the short run.
However, one key funding risk behind those shareholder payouts deserves closer attention. Despite retreating, Kenon Holdings' shares might still be trading 38% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Explore another fair value estimate on Kenon Holdings - why the stock might be worth as much as 62% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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