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To own Altria, you need to believe that its shift beyond traditional cigarettes, including smoke free products, can offset volume pressures while supporting its long standing dividend focus. The planned transition from Billy Gifford to Sal Mancuso looks orderly and does not materially change the near term catalyst, which is execution in regulated alternatives like e vapor, or the biggest risk, which remains regulatory and competitive pressure in U.S. nicotine categories.
In that context, the continued US$1.06 per share quarterly dividend declaration underscores management’s focus on cash returns even as leadership prepares to change. For investors, it ties the succession narrative back to a key part of the Altria story: the company’s ability to translate its high margin tobacco and smoke free portfolio into ongoing cash generation that can fund dividends, buybacks and reinvestment while it contends with illicit e vapor products and shifting consumer preferences.
But investors should also be aware that growing illicit e vapor market share could pressure Altria’s ability to...
Read the full narrative on Altria Group (it's free!)
Altria Group's narrative projects $20.3 billion revenue and $9.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires a 0.1% yearly revenue decline and a $1.1 billion earnings decrease from $10.2 billion.
Uncover how Altria Group's forecasts yield a $63.83 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Eight members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate Altria’s fair value between about US$50 and US$105 per share, reflecting a wide spread of opinion. When you set those views against the ongoing risk from illicit e vapor products limiting NJOY’s potential, it underlines why many investors compare several perspectives before deciding how Altria might fit in a portfolio.
Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Altria Group - why the stock might be worth as much as 78% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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