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Did Surging 2026 Job-Hopping Intentions Just Reframe Robert Half's (RHI) Talent-Solutions Opportunity?

Simply Wall St·12/12/2025 08:20:22
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  • In recent research released by Robert Half and Protiviti, the company reported that 38% of employed U.S. workers planned to look for a new job in the first half of 2026, up from 27% in July and 29% a year earlier.
  • The findings point to rising employee mobility, especially among tech and healthcare workers, Gen Z professionals, and working parents, which directly intersects with Robert Half’s core recruitment and consulting services.
  • Now we’ll explore how this expected wave of job seekers could influence Robert Half’s investment narrative and future talent-solution opportunities.

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Robert Half Investment Narrative Recap

To own Robert Half, you need to believe that tight labor markets, rising job changes, and ongoing business transformation will keep demand for specialized staffing and consulting resilient, even after recent revenue pressure and margin compression. The new survey showing more workers preparing to job hunt supports the idea of elevated talent churn, but it does not yet change the key near term catalyst of a hiring rebound or the central risk of prolonged weak demand and elevated costs.

Among recent announcements, Robert Half’s ongoing share repurchases and steady US$0.59 quarterly dividend stand out in the context of softer earnings and cautious guidance. For investors, this capital return profile sits alongside the potential upside from higher tech and healthcare placement volumes if worker mobility translates into realized hiring activity.

Yet, while job switching intentions are rising, investors should also be aware that Robert Half is still facing...

Read the full narrative on Robert Half (it's free!)

Robert Half’s narrative projects $5.9 billion revenue and $313.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 1.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $135 million earnings increase from $178.1 million today.

Uncover how Robert Half's forecasts yield a $32.44 fair value, a 17% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

RHI 1-Year Stock Price Chart
RHI 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community stretch from US$28 to an extreme US$49,991.88, underlining how far apart individual views can be. As you weigh those opinions, remember that recent revenue declines and margin pressure have raised the risk that weak client hiring and project demand could persist longer than many expect, so it is worth exploring several alternative viewpoints before deciding how Robert Half might fit into your portfolio.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Robert Half - why the stock might be worth just $28.00!

Build Your Own Robert Half Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.