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To own Amer Sports, you need to believe its China-led, premium outdoor and sportswear platform can sustain growth while managing rising concentration risk and high expectations embedded in a rich valuation. The latest earnings beat and guidance uplift reinforce the near term growth catalyst around Arc’teryx, Salomon and Wilson’s direct-to-consumer push, but they do not remove the key risk that a slowdown or disruption in Greater China and Asia-Pacific could weigh disproportionately on future performance.
The most relevant recent announcement here is Amer Sports’ Q3 2025 results, with sales rising to US$1,756.3 million and net income to US$143.1 million, alongside upgraded full year 2025 guidance for 23 percent to 24 percent revenue growth and higher EPS. This combination of strong reported numbers and higher guidance ties directly into the central catalyst of premium brand expansion and DTC growth, while also raising the stakes if regional momentum, especially in Greater China, starts to fade.
Yet behind the upbeat growth story, investors should be aware of how much now hinges on Greater China exposure and...
Read the full narrative on Amer Sports (it's free!)
Amer Sports' narrative projects $8.9 billion revenue and $874.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 16.1% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $650 million earnings increase from $224.0 million today.
Uncover how Amer Sports' forecasts yield a $46.38 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Six fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$14.38 to US$46.75, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. Against that backdrop, Amer Sports’ heavy reliance on China and Asia-Pacific for growth raises important questions about how regional volatility could influence the business over time, so it is worth comparing several of these viewpoints before deciding how you see the story.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Amer Sports - why the stock might be worth as much as 19% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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