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Onchain U.S. Treasury Pilot With Digital Asset Might Change The Case For Investing In Virtu (VIRT)

Simply Wall St·12/12/2025 04:42:54
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  • Digital Asset, together with a consortium of major financial institutions including Virtu Financial, recently completed a second set of onchain U.S. Treasury financing transactions on the Canton Network, progressing efforts to build always-on capital markets infrastructure.
  • This collaboration highlights Virtu’s role in advancing onchain liquidity and real-time collateral reuse, aligning its trading expertise with emerging blockchain-based market structures.
  • We’ll now explore how Virtu’s role in onchain U.S. Treasury financing could influence its investment narrative and digital asset ambitions.

Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

Virtu Financial Investment Narrative Recap

To own Virtu Financial, you need to believe that its core strength in high speed market making and execution can keep generating cash, even as market structure evolves. The Canton Network pilot reinforces Virtu’s efforts in tokenized markets, but it does not materially change the near term picture, where competition from tech heavy trading firms and the cost of staying at the technology frontier remain key catalysts and risks to watch.

The recent appointment of long time CTO Aaron Simons as CEO looks particularly relevant here, given Virtu’s push into onchain U.S. Treasury financing and other digital infrastructure experiments. For investors, this leadership change sits alongside the company’s ongoing buybacks and dividend stream as central near term factors that could matter more to the share price than early stage blockchain initiatives.

Yet while these technology efforts are promising, investors should also be aware of the regulatory and legal risks around Virtu’s expanding role in digital assets...

Read the full narrative on Virtu Financial (it's free!)

Virtu Financial's narrative projects $1.5 billion revenue and $561.6 million earnings by 2028. This implies a 17.3% yearly revenue decline but an earnings increase of about $182 million from $379.2 million today.

Uncover how Virtu Financial's forecasts yield a $42.57 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

VIRT 1-Year Stock Price Chart
VIRT 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range, from about US$42.57 up to US$472.36 per share, showing how far opinions can diverge. Set against this, Virtu’s growing exposure to evolving crypto and DeFi regulation could be a key factor that shapes which of these perspectives looks more realistic over time.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Virtu Financial - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!

Build Your Own Virtu Financial Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Virtu Financial research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Virtu Financial research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Virtu Financial's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.