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    How Investors Are Reacting To Applied Digital (APLD) Expanding CoreWeave AI Leases And New Equity Shelf

    Simply Wall St·12/12/2025 02:31:36
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    • Earlier this month, Applied Digital Corporation filed a US$70.46 million shelf registration for 2,400,000 common shares, while expanding long-term AI data center leases with CoreWeave to a total contracted value of about US$11 billion across its growing Polaris Forge campuses.
    • This combination of fresh capital-raising capacity and enlarged hyperscaler commitments underscores how central Applied Digital has become to meeting power-hungry AI infrastructure demand.
    • We’ll now explore how the expanded CoreWeave contract could reshape Applied Digital’s investment narrative around long-term revenue visibility and risk.

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    Applied Digital Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Applied Digital, you need to believe its AI focused data center build out can outgrow its crypto exposure and current losses, turning long dated leases into durable cash flows. The new US$70.46 million shelf filing modestly adds funding flexibility, but the near term catalyst and risk still center on executing Polaris Forge buildouts against rising leverage and market concern about the pace of expansion.

    The expanded CoreWeave leases, now totaling about US$11 billion over 15 years at Polaris Forge, are the clearest link between this new capital capacity and the core growth story, because they frame how much contracted demand is waiting for Applied Digital to deliver. If the company can bring this capacity online on schedule while keeping costs and financing in check, those agreements may help offset concerns around customer concentration and balance sheet strain.

    Yet, against that growth potential, investors should also be aware that client concentration around a few hyperscalers could...

    Read the full narrative on Applied Digital (it's free!)

    Applied Digital's narrative projects $755.7 million revenue and $102.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 73.7% yearly revenue growth and a $263.2 million earnings increase from -$161.0 million today.

    Uncover how Applied Digital's forecasts yield a $43.70 fair value, a 42% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    APLD 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    APLD 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Thirty two Simply Wall St Community valuations span from US$3.68 to US$43.70, reflecting sharply different views on Applied Digital’s potential. When you set that against its heavy reliance on a handful of hyperscaler contracts, it underlines why many investors may want to examine several competing views on how those commitments could shape future performance.

    Explore 32 other fair value estimates on Applied Digital - why the stock might be worth as much as 42% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Applied Digital Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.