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    How Investors Are Reacting To Cipher Mining (CIFR) Fed Rate Cuts And Crypto Policy Tailwinds

    Simply Wall St·12/12/2025 01:27:22
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    • Earlier this week, Cipher Mining was lifted by a surge in bitcoin prices, a third consecutive Federal Reserve rate cut, and growing optimism around potential policy support for crypto miners and lower-cost power.
    • Beyond short-term market relief, Cipher Mining’s push into more efficient, sustainable operations and flexible infrastructure could matter for how it competes as regulation, energy costs, and digital asset use evolve.
    • Next, we’ll examine how the Fed’s latest rate cut and easier financial conditions may reshape Cipher Mining’s longer-term investment narrative.

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    Cipher Mining Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Cipher Mining, you need to believe in the long term viability of Bitcoin mining and the company’s shift toward higher value computing infrastructure. The recent Bitcoin rally and third Fed rate cut support the near term catalyst of easier financing and stronger sentiment, but they do not remove the key risk that revenues still rely heavily on Bitcoin price cycles and capital intensive capacity growth.

    The most relevant update here is Cipher’s 15 year, US$5.5 billion lease with AWS for 300 MW of AI focused capacity starting in 2026. This long duration contract ties directly into the company’s push beyond pure Bitcoin exposure, potentially changing how investors weigh the near term sensitivity to Bitcoin against the longer term build out of high performance computing infrastructure.

    But investors also need to be aware that if power costs rise or contracts are disrupted, Cipher’s heavy infrastructure commitments could...

    Read the full narrative on Cipher Mining (it's free!)

    Cipher Mining's narrative projects $696.2 million revenue and $91.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 63.6% yearly revenue growth and about a $245 million earnings increase from $-154.0 million today.

    Uncover how Cipher Mining's forecasts yield a $27.25 fair value, a 44% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    CIFR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    CIFR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range between US$6 and US$27.25, highlighting very different views on Cipher’s potential. You can weigh those opinions against the central risk that Cipher’s revenue remains closely tied to Bitcoin price cycles and capital intensive expansion, which could have broad implications for the resilience of its future performance.

    Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Cipher Mining - why the stock might be worth as much as 44% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Cipher Mining Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.