With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 67.9x Vijaya Diagnostic Centre Limited (NSE:VIJAYA) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 25x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Vijaya Diagnostic Centre's and the market's earnings growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Vijaya Diagnostic Centre
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Vijaya Diagnostic Centre would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 67% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% per year, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Vijaya Diagnostic Centre's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Vijaya Diagnostic Centre currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Vijaya Diagnostic Centre with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Vijaya Diagnostic Centre, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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