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    Aris Mining (TSX:ARIS) Is Up 6.2% After New Segovia Mill Boosts Gold Output Capacity

    Simply Wall St·12/11/2025 23:23:33
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    • Aris Mining recently reported a surge in gold output driven by its Segovia mine, where a second mill has boosted processing capacity and near-term production, while development at Marmato and other projects in Colombia and Guyana continues to advance.
    • This combination of higher processing capacity, a progressing long-life project pipeline, and a solid cash position is reshaping how investors assess the company’s future operating profile and growth prospects.
    • We’ll now examine how the new Segovia mill’s expanded capacity influences Aris Mining’s longer-term investment narrative and growth assumptions.

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    Aris Mining Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Aris Mining, you need to believe its Colombian core plus longer-life projects like Marmato, Soto Norte, and Toroparu can translate higher current output into durable cash generation. The new Segovia mill materially supports the key short term catalyst of production growth, but it does not remove the main risk, which remains Colombia focused geopolitical, permitting, and ESG uncertainty that could slow or disrupt these assets.

    The most relevant recent announcement is the commissioning of Segovia’s second mill, which lifted processing capacity from 2,000 tpd to 3,000 tpd and has already driven stronger group production. This reinforces the near term production ramp that underpins many investors’ expectations, while leaving execution risks at Segovia and Marmato, including potential delays and cost overruns, very much in focus.

    Yet behind the higher output and strong cash position, investors still need to be aware of the company’s concentrated exposure to Colombian regulatory risk and...

    Read the full narrative on Aris Mining (it's free!)

    Aris Mining's narrative projects $1.5 billion revenue and $695.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 32.4% yearly revenue growth and a $690.2 million earnings increase from $5.1 million today.

    Uncover how Aris Mining's forecasts yield a CA$26.59 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    TSX:ARIS Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Dec 2025
    TSX:ARIS Earnings & Revenue Growth as at Dec 2025

    Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range, from US$4.47 to US$49 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. When you set those opinions against Aris Mining’s heavy exposure to Colombian political and regulatory risk, it becomes even more important to compare several perspectives before forming a view on the company’s longer term performance.

    Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Aris Mining - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

    Build Your Own Aris Mining Narrative

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.