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To own VICI Properties, you have to believe in the durability of its gaming and experiential real estate cash flows and its long-term triple net leases, despite pressure on key tenants and shifting betting habits. The latest US$0.45 dividend affirmation supports the near term income story but does not materially change the biggest risk right now, which is tenant concentration in large casino operators facing a soft tourism and gaming backdrop.
In that context, Barclays’ recent cut to its VICI price target, citing tenant concerns, feels particularly relevant to this dividend news, because it spotlights how much the investment case hinges on Caesars, MGM and other major operators continuing to meet long term rent obligations. For income focused investors, the combination of an affirmed dividend with renewed scrutiny of tenant health tightens the focus on lease resilience as the key short term catalyst to watch.
Yet even with the dividend reaffirmed, investors should be aware of how dependent VICI’s rental income remains on a handful of large tenants and...
Read the full narrative on VICI Properties (it's free!)
VICI Properties’ narrative projects $4.3 billion revenue and $2.8 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.4% yearly revenue growth with earnings remaining flat, implying no change from current earnings of $2.8 billion.
Uncover how VICI Properties' forecasts yield a $36.09 fair value, a 30% upside to its current price.
Ten members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see VICI’s fair value between US$30.78 and US$54.33, reflecting very different expectations about upside. When you compare that spread with the ongoing risk around concentrated casino tenants, it underlines why you may want to weigh several viewpoints before forming your own view on VICI’s long term performance potential.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on VICI Properties - why the stock might be worth just $30.78!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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