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To own ASA Gold and Precious Metals, you really need to believe in two things: that its portfolio of precious metals assets can keep creating value beyond the recent very large one off gain, and that ongoing governance changes will ultimately strengthen, not destabilize, the fund. Short term, the key catalysts remain sentiment toward gold and precious metals equities, the persistence of ASA’s wide gap between price and earnings, and any new capital allocation moves after the buyback authorization and dividend increase. Saba Capital’s incremental buying, lifting its stake to over 5.3 million shares, reinforces the activist influence around the boardroom, but it does not materially change those core drivers by itself. It does, however, keep governance and potential future structural changes firmly in focus alongside the strong recent share price run.
However, one governance risk could affect how that recent one off windfall ultimately benefits shareholders. ASA Gold and Precious Metals' shares are on the way up, but could they be overextended? Uncover how much higher they are than fair value.The Simply Wall St Community’s single US$8.35 fair value estimate contrasts sharply with ASA’s very large recent share price appreciation, prompting you to weigh governance turnover and one off earnings risk against that conservative view.
Explore another fair value estimate on ASA Gold and Precious Metals - why the stock might be worth as much as $8.35!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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