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    Quantum Computing (QUBT) Is Up 9.4% After Speculative Surge On Earnings Surprise And Prototype Progress

    Simply Wall St·12/10/2025 11:16:43
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    • Quantum Computing Inc. recently reported a very large year-on-year share price gain despite generating only US$546,000 in revenue and remaining deeply unprofitable, with its quantum hardware still in testing and prototype stages.
    • The company’s sharp earnings surprise in Q3 2025, combined with heightened retail interest in quantum technologies, appears to have amplified speculation around its early photonic chip progress despite execution, competition and dilution risks.
    • We’ll now examine how this speculation-fueled reaction to QUBT’s earnings surprise shapes the company’s broader investment narrative for investors.

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    What Is Quantum Computing's Investment Narrative?

    To own QUBT here, you effectively have to believe that its early mover position in photonic quantum chips and edge-AI hardware can translate into a durable commercial platform long before the current cash burn and dilution risks catch up with it. The recent Q3 2025 earnings surprise and very large one-year share price gain have clearly become short-term catalysts in their own right, attracting momentum traders and retail interest that were not central to the story a few months ago. That may support liquidity and help future capital raises but does not change the near-term reality of sub-US$1 million revenue, ongoing losses and hardware that is still in testing and low-volume shipments. If anything, the speculative spike heightens execution, funding and competition risks from here.

    Our valuation report unveils the possibility Quantum Computing's shares may be trading at a premium.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    QUBT 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    QUBT 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Interestingly, 31 fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from just US$0.03 to over US$23 per share, underscoring how far apart investor expectations can be. Set that against a business still generating only US$546,000 in revenue and facing material execution and dilution risks, and it becomes clear why taking in several viewpoints before forming a view on QUBT’s potential path makes sense.

    Explore 31 other fair value estimates on Quantum Computing - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

    Build Your Own Quantum Computing Narrative

    Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.