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Is American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings (NYSE:AXL) Using Too Much Debt?

Simply Wall St·12/10/2025 10:29:07
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:AXL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings had US$2.63b of debt, at September 2025, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$714.1m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.92b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AXL Debt to Equity History December 10th 2025

How Healthy Is American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings had liabilities of US$1.27b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$3.36b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$714.1m in cash and US$857.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.05b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$727.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

Check out our latest analysis for American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.7 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. More concerning, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings saw its EBIT drop by 5.0% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 84% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

To be frank both American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.