Bitcoin's Odds Of Hitting $100,000 In 2025 Jump To 51% As Fed Rate Cut Looms

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is seeing a surge in bullish sentiment ahead of Wednesday's expected 25 bps Fed rate cut, with traders rotating back into risk assets.

What Happened: Bitcoin rallied 4% on Tuesday to reclaim the $93,000 level, triggering a sharp shift in prediction market probabilities.

• Kalshi's contract for "Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again this year?" jumped to 51%, up from 34% earlier in the day.

• On Polymarket, the $95,000-and-above range saw odds climb 24% to 88%, while probabilities for a move above $100,000 surged 19% to 50%.

Crypto analyst Kaleo noted the current environment mirrors October 2024—high fear, heavy bearish positioning, and expectations of another major collapse.

That period ended up marking a bottom before BTC pushed to new all-time highs, a reminder that extreme pessimism often precedes major opportunities.

With the FOMC meeting approaching, traders emphasized that holding key support levels could set Bitcoin up to test the $100,000 mark before year-end.

Also Read: : Bitcoin Holds $90,000 As Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin Wobble On Weak ETF Inflows

What's Next: Market commentator ChimpZoo said Bitcoin is set for an asymmetric squeeze.

A $7,000 move higher from here would liquidate ~3,500 BTC worth of short positions, while a $10,000 drop would liquidate only ~1,350 BTC in long positions, showing the market is overwhelmingly short-biased.

For Ethereum, Cold Blooded Shiller highlighted the breakout traders have been waiting for, targeting the most obvious liquidity zone to squeeze shorts.

If ETH can sustain above this level, broader market optimism could finally return.

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• Why Does Bitcoin Keep Dumping As Soon As The US Trading Session Starts?

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