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    Enphase Energy (ENPH) Valuation Check as IQ EV Charger 2 Rollout Expands Its Clean Energy Platform

    Simply Wall St·12/09/2025 17:26:53
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    Enphase Energy (ENPH) just started shipping its new IQ EV Charger 2 across the U.S. and Canada, a move that quietly pushes the stock’s story beyond solar into mainstream home and commercial EV charging.

    See our latest analysis for Enphase Energy.

    The new IQ EV Charger 2 and recent PowerMatch launch in Europe arrive against a tough backdrop, with the 1 year total shareholder return down sharply and the year to date share price return still deeply negative. However, the strong 7 day share price return suggests early signs of momentum as investors reassess Enphase’s longer term growth and diversification story.

    If this kind of clean energy pivot has your attention, it is also worth exploring other high growth tech and AI names through high growth tech and AI stocks for fresh ideas beyond solar and EV charging.

    With shares still down nearly 60 percent over the past year but trading about 20 percent below both analyst targets and intrinsic value estimates, is Enphase finally a contrarian buying opportunity, or is the market already discounting its next growth leg?

    Most Popular Narrative: 19.6% Undervalued

    With Enphase Energy’s fair value pegged around $38.85 versus a $31.24 last close, the most followed narrative argues the market is underpricing its next phase of cash flow stability.

    Upcoming launches of next-generation products including the IQ9 microinverter with gallium nitride technology, the fifth-generation high-density battery, and bidirectional EV chargers position Enphase to capture new commercial, multi-phase, and EV oriented market segments, leading to a structurally lower cost base and improved gross margins.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Want to see how modest top line expectations still point to richer earnings and a higher multiple than today? The real reveal is in the margin math and 2028 profit bridge driving that discount rate and fair value. Curious what has to go right for this story to hold together, and how far sentiment can lag behind those projections.

    Result: Fair Value of $38.85 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, lingering U.S. residential solar weakness and elevated microinverter inventories could still compress margins and delay the cash flow stability that this narrative assumes.

    Find out about the key risks to this Enphase Energy narrative.

    Build Your Own Enphase Energy Narrative

    If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can build a custom view in minutes: Do it your way.

    A great starting point for your Enphase Energy research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

    Looking for more investment ideas?

    Before you move on, lock in your next opportunity by using the Simply Wall St Screener to uncover high potential stocks that most investors are still overlooking.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.