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To own H World Group, you need to believe its large hotel network and shift toward asset light growth can still create value despite soft RevPAR and macro uncertainty. The latest strong Q3 2025 results and Laos expansion do not materially change the near term focus on RevPAR pressure as the key catalyst and the risk of overexpansion in weaker markets.
The opening of H World Group’s 10,000th hotel is the update that ties closest to the current narrative, because it underlines how aggressively the company is still adding rooms while RevPAR remains under pressure. For investors, the question is whether this bigger footprint, including new markets like Laos, can support higher asset light revenue without increasing the risk that newer hotels dilute returns in slower growing regions.
But while expansion headlines are encouraging, investors should still be aware that rapid growth into lower tier cities could...
Read the full narrative on H World Group (it's free!)
H World Group's narrative projects CN¥28.8 billion revenue and CN¥5.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.9% yearly revenue growth and about CN¥2.1 billion earnings increase from CN¥3.8 billion today.
Uncover how H World Group's forecasts yield a $50.83 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from US$18.67 to US$31,138.76 per share, so opinions differ widely. When you set that against the risk that rapid expansion into weaker local economies could weigh on margins, it becomes even more important to compare several viewpoints on H World Group’s future performance.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on H World Group - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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