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To own Marex Group, you need to believe in its ability to compound earnings from capital markets trading, market making and structured products, while managing acquisition complexity and regulatory scrutiny. The securities class actions targeting alleged self-dealing and unreliable cash flow reporting directly touch that thesis, because they focus on the quality and sustainability of reported profits, making legal, governance and financial reporting outcomes the key short term catalyst and also the most immediate risk to the business.
Against this backdrop, Marex’s launch of its US structured products business in November 2025 stands out, as it aims to deepen its footprint with RIAs, broker dealers and private banks using its experience across more than 20,000 structured products. This expansion could be important for future fee generation, but its ultimate impact now hinges on how clients, counterparties and regulators react to the ongoing allegations around off book intercompany trades and financial statement reliability.
Yet for investors, the real issue to watch is how any hit to Marex’s reputation and governance could...
Read the full narrative on Marex Group (it's free!)
Marex Group's narrative projects $2.0 billion revenue and $365.9 million earnings by 2028. This implies an 8.3% yearly revenue decline but still requires roughly a $114.9 million earnings increase from $251.0 million today.
Uncover how Marex Group's forecasts yield a $47.71 fair value, a 27% upside to its current price.
Eleven members of the Simply Wall St Community put Marex’s fair value anywhere between US$7.53 and US$19,588.41, underlining how far apart individual expectations can be. You can weigh those views against the current legal and governance concerns around alleged off book intercompany transactions, which could have broader implications for how sustainable Marex’s earnings and expansion plans really are.
Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Marex Group - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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