Markets bet on whether Analilia Mejia will be the Democratic nominee for NJ-11

Kalshi has reported 7,938 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for NJ-11?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 10% chance for "Analilia Mejia", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 10% probability.

If Analilia Mejia wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Special NJ-11 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 14,288 transactions since it was first opened on November 18, 2025. There are 9,722 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 2,172,768 contracts.

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