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Universal Health Services (UHS): Revisiting Valuation After Strong Multi‑Year Returns and a Recent Pullback

Simply Wall St·12/05/2025 20:33:35
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Universal Health Services (UHS) has quietly outperformed much of the healthcare sector this year, and the stock’s recent pullback could be giving long term investors another look at its growth story.

See our latest analysis for Universal Health Services.

After a strong run that has delivered a roughly 28 percent year to date share price return and an impressive multi year total shareholder return, the recent 7 day pullback looks more like a breather than a trend change, with momentum still skewed to the upside.

If UHS has you rethinking your healthcare exposure, it could be worth exploring other potential outperformers across healthcare stocks to see what else fits your strategy.

With UHS trading below analyst targets yet boasting strong multi year returns and solid earnings growth, investors face a key question: is this still an undervalued compounder, or is the market already pricing in its next leg of growth?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 7.7% Undervalued

With Universal Health Services closing at $230.59 versus a narrative fair value near $249.94, the prevailing view leans toward modest upside from here.

The company's aggressive buildout of outpatient behavioral health facilities positions it to capture a greater share of rising demand for mental and behavioral health services, a trend driven by increased societal awareness and destigmatization, which is expected to support long term revenue and EBITDA growth as the mix shifts toward higher margin, lower cost care settings.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what this expansion wave assumes for future revenues, margins, and earnings power? The narrative leans on surprisingly disciplined growth math. Curious which projections really drive that fair value?

Result: Fair Value of $249.94 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, significant policy shifts around Medicaid support and persistent labor shortages could quickly pressure margins and undermine the current undervalued narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Universal Health Services narrative.

Build Your Own Universal Health Services Narrative

If this perspective does not quite match your own or you prefer hands on research, you can build a personalized view in minutes: Do it your way

A great starting point for your Universal Health Services research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.