CoreWeave (CRWV) just posted third quarter figures that combined very strong sales with significantly wider losses, giving investors fresh data on how its AI focused cloud buildout is affecting the stock’s risk profile.
CoreWeave’s earnings release lands after a bruising stretch for the stock, with a 30 day share price return down 39.3% and a 90 day share price return down 54.2%, while the 1 year total shareholder return is down 43.0% despite the recent lift from the Wayve contract and raised guidance.
Scan how CoreWeave’s AI cloud story compares with other high conviction infrastructure plays by checking the hand picked 53 AI infrastructure stocks now that earnings are in focus.
CoreWeave now looks like a powerful AI utility tied to heavy losses and expensive debt after a brutal share price reset. Is this a strong platform that is temporarily mispriced, or a rich stock that still carries too much funding risk?
CoreWeave’s analyst consensus Narrative on Simply Wall St points to a fair value of $134.58 per share versus a last close of $48.73, highlighting a wide gap that rests heavily on aggressive growth, margin improvement and a relatively high discount rate of 12.54%.
Analysts expect earnings to reach $1.2 billion (and earnings per share of $2.59) by about November 2029, up from -$1.9 billion today. However, there is a considerable amount of disagreement amongst the analysts with the most bullish expecting $3.4 billion in earnings, and the most bearish expecting $-6.5 billion.
See why 162 investors see CoreWeave as 64% undervalued.
Result: Fair Value of $134.58 (UNDERVALUED)
Still, CoreWeave’s story could unravel if funding costs keep climbing or if AI infrastructure demand softens enough to expose its heavy debt load.
Find out about the key risks to this CoreWeave narrative.
With CoreWeave pulling strong opinions in both directions, you do not need to pick a side immediately to stay informed and prepared. To weigh both the concern around risks and the optimism around potential rewards, start with the 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign.
If CoreWeave has sharpened your thinking on risk and reward, do not stop here. Put that perspective to work by scanning other opportunities on Simply Wall St’s screener.
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