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StoneCo (STNE) Dropped, So What Is Driving Attention Now?

Simply Wall St·11/04/2026 06:42:31
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StoneCo (STNE) is heading into its 12 November 2026 third quarter earnings release with an Earnings ESP of 2.74% and a Zacks Rank of #3, putting the upcoming report firmly in focus.

Recent trading tells a very different story to the earnings chatter. StoneCo’s share price at US$7.39 has fallen 22.62% over the past 30 days and 33.84% over 90 days, while the 1 year total shareholder return is down 52.47%. This signals fading momentum even as the stock trades at what some see as a valuation discount and waits on fresh numbers to reset the risk narrative.

Scan beyond StoneCo and line up other payment and fintech plays that have also pulled back sharply using our curated list of 35 high quality undervalued stocks.

StoneCo’s slide has some investors reading it as a verdict on the business itself, others as a sharp swing in mood. Which story do the current valuation markers tell?

Most Popular Narrative: 47% Undervalued

Analysts following StoneCo see a large gap between the last close at $7.39 and their modeled fair value of $13.84, and they attribute that gap to how the business mix shifts from here.

The ongoing repositioning of StoneCo toward a full-service bank for entrepreneurs, with a unified merchant account that includes payments, banking and credit, is widening the chance to raise average revenue per active client and support more durable earnings streams.

Integration of Pagar.me into the main StoneCo account, allowing merchants to manage physical and digital operations in one place, is aimed at capturing a larger share of faster-growing online and Pix-linked flows, which can support transaction revenue and open more cross-selling of banking and credit.

See why 71 investors see StoneCo as 47% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $13.84 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the StoneCo story can change quickly if credit losses stay elevated or Total Payment Volume remains stuck in low single digit growth.

Find out about the key risks to this StoneCo narrative.

Next Steps

Mixed messages in the StoneCo story can make it hard to read sentiment cleanly. Move quickly, review the details, and weigh both sides through the 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs

Looking for more investment ideas beyond StoneCo?

If StoneCo has sharpened your focus on valuation and risk, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with a few targeted sets of opportunities investors often overlook.