To own AT&T, you need to be comfortable with a telecom giant in the middle of a long, expensive shift from copper to fiber and wireless while near term profitability stays under pressure. The third quarter numbers underline that tension. Revenue was US$32,322 million, yet net income for the period was US$891 million with diluted EPS of US$0.12.
Management still expects consolidated service revenue to grow at a low single digit rate for 2026, so the core top line message is unchanged. The near term swing factor remains how quickly AT&T can pull copper related costs out of the system. The biggest risk is that weaker margins linger while debt stays elevated.
The most relevant update for this story is AT&T’s expansion of America’s Best Guarantee, which leans on its fiber, Internet Air and wireless footprint. Short hold times, automatic outage credits, internet backup and single agent support are all about making converged connectivity stickier and easier to manage for households.
For you as an investor, that initiative connects directly to the main catalyst. AT&T needs higher value, lower churn relationships to justify heavy network spend and the copper shutdown. If the Guarantee leads to better retention and more customers pairing fiber with wireless, it could support the service revenue mix that management’s guidance points toward.
AT&T’s current analyst narrative points to revenues of US$137.5b and earnings of US$19.9b by 2029, based on assumed 2.2% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about US$6.8b from US$13.1b today.
Discover why AT&T's fair value indicates a 36% potential upside to its current price, which some investors believe could be realized more quickly than expected.
One alternate view leans hard into AT&T’s capital return plans. The most optimistic analysts were working off forecasts of about US$141.8b in 2029 revenue and US$21.4b in earnings, with a higher price target tied to richer P/E assumptions. Those projections pre date this guidance and copper pivot, so you may see opinions shift as the story evolves.
Explore 7 other AT&T fair value estimates, including one that suggests potential upside of up to 236% from the current price.
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