Cambridge, Massachusetts-based Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, autoimmune, and cardiovascular diseases. The company is valued at $79.9 billion by market cap. The pharmaceutical and biotechnology company is expected to announce its fiscal third-quarter earnings for 2026 before the market opens on Friday, Nov. 6.
Ahead of the event, analysts expect Moderna to report a loss of $1.10 per share on a diluted basis, down 115.7% from $0.51 per share in the year-ago quarter. The company has consistently surpassed or met Wall Street’s bottom-line estimates in its last four quarterly reports.
For the full year, analysts expect Moderna to report loss per share of $6.11, up 15.8% from $7.26 in fiscal 2025. Its loss per share is expected to recover 25.9% year over year to $4.53 in fiscal 2027.
MRNA stock has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) 13.1% gains over the past 52 weeks, with shares up 662.3% during this period. Similarly, it massively outperformed the State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF’s (XLV) 22.8% returns over the same time frame.
Moderna's dramatic outperformance over the past year has been fueled by massive momentum in its oncology pipeline, highlighted by landmark Phase 3 trial data for its individualized neoantigen therapy (intismeran autogene) combined with Merck & Co., Inc.’s (MRK) KEYTRUDA in melanoma, alongside broader validation from new product approvals like its mRNA flu vaccine, mFLUSIVA, and excitement surrounding a proposed U.S. public-private initiative to fast-track cancer vaccine development.
Analysts’ consensus opinion on MRNA stock is cautious, with a “Hold” rating overall. Out of 23 analysts covering the stock, four advise a “Strong Buy” rating, 16 give a “Hold,” and three recommend a “Strong Sell.” While MRNA currently trades above its mean price target of $133.24, the Street-high price target of $236 suggests an upside potential of 17.9%.