Franklin Templeton has delivered strong multi year gains, so the real issue for anyone looking at the stock today is whether that share price is properly supported by the returns the business is earning on its capital.
For investors, the debate is whether the current price fairly reflects the returns Franklin Templeton is actually generating on the capital it deploys.
If you are weighing whether Franklin Templeton’s 61.8% three year return is well supported by the returns it earns on its capital, it can help to compare that story with a broader set of 29 high quality undervalued stocks
The Excess Returns model looks at what Franklin Templeton earns above its required cost of equity on each dollar of shareholder capital. For this stock, the framework is built around a Book Value of $23.13 per share and a Stable Book Value estimate of $26.53 per share, with those book figures paired to a Stable EPS of $3.22 per share. That earnings profile sits against an equity charge of $2.21 per share, which implies an Excess Return of $1.00 per share based on an average Return on Equity of 12.12%.
Because the Encina Lender Finance deal adds more asset backed finance exposure, the key question is whether Franklin Templeton can keep earning returns that comfortably clear that $2.21 per share equity cost as the balance sheet scales. The Excess Returns work suggests the market price of $31.06 does not fully reflect the value implied by those projected returns, despite the recent expansion of the private credit platform helping to explain why investors are paying more attention to the stock. To see how that gap between the Excess Returns estimate and the current price looks in detail, compare Franklin Templeton’s intrinsic worth with its traded value here. Find out what Franklin Templeton could be worth using our Excess Returns estimate.
Narratives for Franklin Templeton pick up where the Excess Returns puzzle leaves off and explain which paths for growth, profitability and earnings would need to occur for the shares to appear materially higher or lower than today’s price. Each scenario lays out its own assumptions so you can later compare those expectations with the results Franklin Templeton reports over time on Simply Wall St's Community page.
Bulls on Franklin Templeton see more in the alternatives and technology build out than the skeptics who focus on fee sharing pressure.
Bull case: 13% undervalued
"The push into private assets and alternatives is moving ahead, with alternative AUM of about 294b and fiscal 2026 private markets fundraising now expected to reach around 40b..."
Discover why this Narrative puts Franklin Templeton at 13% undervalued.
Bear case: 12% overvalued
"Bearish analysts expect Franklin Templeton to face ongoing fee and distribution pressure as platforms seek more economics from products such as ETFs and SMAs, which could weigh on revenue growth and long-term earnings power..."
Explore why this Narrative puts Franklin Templeton at 12% overvalued.
Valuation work can look appealing on the surface, yet the checklist on Franklin Templeton also flags specific areas of concern that deserve your attention before you decide what comes next. Take a closer look at 2 warning signs before settling on a valuation.
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