Trade Desk (TTD) just broadened its connected TV reach in Italy with new Skydance Pause Ads on HBO Max and discovery+, giving advertisers another way to reach streaming viewers without interrupting shows.
The Trade Desk share price has been under clear pressure, with a 90 day share price return down 33% and the year to date share price return down 68%, while the 1 year total shareholder return has declined 77%. Fresh CTV deals like the Skydance Pause Ads launch may be watched as potential signs that sentiment on the business model could eventually stabilise, rather than as an immediate catalyst for a rebound.
Scan beyond Trade Desk's recent slide and see how other advertising and media platforms with stronger momentum or different risk profiles stack up in our hand picked 33 high quality undervalued stocks list.
After a slide this steep, Trade Desk starts to look less like a high flyer and more like a reset story. Does the current price still stack up against the risks on offer?
Trade Desk’s most followed narrative pins fair value at $29.24 against the latest close at $12.23, so the reset in the share price is being framed as overdone rather than a permanent downgrade.
Revenue has slowed as they have seen increased competition and tightened ad spend, however it is still net income positive. The year-on-year metrics in particular have slowed (+235% in 2023 vs +12.8% in 2025). They have had double-digit growth over the last five years and profitability increased in 2024 with their partnerships bringing in new revenue streams. Importantly, 82% of their revenue comes from the US.
The Risks
Competition: Amazon is a significant threat as it has the money, resources and drive to take away audience and increase expansions into other markets.
Growth: has declined and analysts expect this to level out to 10% per year as their moat reduces in size.
Costs: infrastructure is going to be the hardest thing to turn around as they rely more and more on AI. Without Google, Amazon or Meta infrastructure, they will be paying a higher price for the same expectations as their competitors.
Valuation
See why 27 investors see Trade Desk as 58% undervalued.
Result: Fair Value of $29.24 (UNDERVALUED)
Still, Trade Desk’s heavier AI infrastructure spend and rising competition from giants like Amazon could cap margins and keep the “undervalued” narrative under pressure.
Find out about the key risks to this Trade Desk narrative.
Sentiment on Trade Desk is clearly split, which is exactly when fresh data tends to matter most for long term investors weighing risk against potential upside. If you want to pressure test both sides of the argument and see how the trade off looks on your terms, start with the 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign.
Do not stop your research with Trade Desk. Broaden your watchlist now, or you risk missing companies that better match your goals and risk comfort.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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