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Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Draws Fresh Earnings Interest, Is The Valuation Already Above Fair Value?

Simply Wall St·10/15/2026 06:27:07
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Analyst sentiment around Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) has shifted, with a positive Earnings ESP of 0.98% ahead of its expected October 30, 2026 earnings release, drawing fresh attention to the stock.

Recent momentum has been strong for Cboe Global Markets, with a 1-day share price return of 2.81% and a year to date share price return of 21.10%. Its 1-year total shareholder return of 25.56% and 5-year total shareholder return of 152.59% point to sustained interest building around the stock as earnings expectations improve.

See how Cboe Global Markets fits alongside other exchanges and financial operators by comparing it with our curated list of list of solid balance sheet and fundamentals (25 results)

Bulls point to Cboe Global Markets' consistent returns and upbeat earnings sentiment. Bears flag the current share price and value score of 2. Which side does the valuation actually support?

Most Popular Narrative: 24% Overvalued

The most followed valuation narrative pegs Cboe Global Markets at a fair value of $241.95, compared with the recent share price of $300.47. That gap reflects a view that the current market price runs ahead of the underlying cash flow assumptions in the model.

Based on this comprehensive analysis using appropriate risk-adjusted discount rates, CBOE appears undervalued when using WACC-based DCF methodology. The two-stage DCF model with WACC provides an intrinsic value estimate of $657.85 per share. This result implies a large difference compared with the current trading level.

Find out how 9 investors see Cboe Global Markets as 24% overvalued.

Result: Fair Value of $241.95 (OVERVALUED)

Still, the Cboe Global Markets story can break if assumptions about revenue growth prove too optimistic or if higher discount rates return to the market.

Find out about the key risks to this Cboe Global Markets narrative.

Another View: Cboe Global Markets Through Earnings Multiples

Cboe Global Markets looks different when viewed through its P/E ratio. The stock trades at 23.3x earnings, below both the US Capital Markets industry on 37.6x and a peer average of 27.7x. Yet it sits well above an estimated fair ratio of 13.9x, which points to meaningful valuation risk if the market leans back toward that lower benchmark.

That mix of cheaper than peers but richer than the fair ratio leaves a simple question for investors: Is the current price a premium for quality, or a gap that eventually needs to close, one way or the other?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

BATS:CBOE P/E Ratio as at Oct 2026
BATS:CBOE P/E Ratio as at Oct 2026

Next Steps

Sentiment around Cboe Global Markets splits opinions, which is exactly why you should look directly at the numbers and pressure test the assumptions yourself. To see what investors view as the main upside drivers behind this setup, take a closer look at the 3 key rewards.

Looking for more Cboe Global Markets investment ideas?

If you are weighing Cboe Global Markets against alternatives, it makes sense to scan a broader opportunity set using focused stock lists that match your goals.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.