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Is Otis Worldwide (OTIS) Cheap Enough To Reflect Its Cash Flow?

Simply Wall St·10/09/2026 10:40:10
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Otis Worldwide has seen its share price fall sharply this year, and that slide puts the focus squarely on whether the current US$66.11 level is consistent with the cash the business is expected to generate over time. With the stock giving back a meaningful chunk of its recent years' gains, the question now is how that market move stacks up against an intrinsic value estimate built from its cash flows.

  • The share price is down 25.2% year to date, which raises the question of whether the market is now asking less for the same stream of future cash flows or signaling doubts about those cash flows themselves.
  • Otis Worldwide runs a large installed base and service-heavy model that can support relatively steady cash generation, so any shift in expectations for maintenance revenue, upgrade cycles or capital intensity feeds directly into what investors might think those cash flows are worth today.
  • If you'd rather focus on earnings, this one's for you. See what Otis Worldwide's 16.6x P/E says about the price.

The issue now is whether that recent share price decline still lines up with the intrinsic value suggested by a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) view of Otis Worldwide's cash flows.

If you are weighing whether Otis Worldwide's recent share price slide lines up with its cash flows, it can help to compare that setup with 27 high quality undervalued stocks.

Is Otis Worldwide a Bargain on Cash Flow?

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) approach here looks at Otis Worldwide through the cash it could return to shareholders over time. Over the last twelve months the business produced about $1.72b in free cash flow, which gives the model a solid recent base rather than a turnaround story built on losses.

Analysts contributing to this DCF expect free cash flow to grow from that level, with projections stepping up through the next decade in a relatively steady pattern rather than extreme swings. When those future dollars are discounted back and compared with the current $66.11 share price, the projections suggest an intrinsic worth that sits substantially above where the stock is trading today. Find out what Otis Worldwide could be worth using our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) estimate.

The Otis Worldwide Narrative: What Would Justify Today's Price?

Simply Wall St Narratives for Otis Worldwide sit on the Community page and act as the link between the valuation puzzle above and the real world assumptions on growth, profitability and earnings power that would need to hold for the stock to be worth meaningfully more or less than today. Each one treats Otis Worldwide's implied fair value as a thesis about how the business might perform that you can track over time rather than just a static snapshot.

One of the top community narratives on Otis Worldwide: 25% undervalued

"The current valuation implies the share price does not fully reflect the size of Otis Worldwide’s modernization backlog, the growth in its service portfolio, and the company’s ongoing returns of capital to shareholders..."

Discover why this Narrative puts Otis Worldwide at 25% undervalued.

One more Otis Worldwide factor that could change the picture

Valuation only tells part of the Otis Worldwide story, because the research checks have also flagged potential pressure points and soft spots that investors may want to weigh before deciding what the current price really means. Take a closer look at 2 warning signs (1 major) before settling on a valuation.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.