Akamai Technologies (AKAM) just secured a significantly expanded partnership with Anthropic, locking in US$11.6b of contractual commitments over seven years, with potential to reach about US$20b if the relationship grows.
Akamai Technologies shares now trade at US$106.93, with a 1-year total shareholder return of 37.07% that contrasts with a share price decline of 5.51% over the past 90 days, which suggests strong longer term momentum even as traders reassess risk and growth expectations around recent Anthropic and clean energy announcements.
Scan how this Anthropic deal fits into the broader AI buildout by comparing Akamai Technologies with hand-picked 90 AI infrastructure stocks poised to benefit from similar infrastructure demand.
The Anthropic commitment and recent clean energy move have already pulled fresh optimism into Akamai Technologies. The real debate now is whether most of that value is already reflected in the price or if meaningful upside still lies ahead.
Akamai Technologies is framed as undervalued in the most followed narrative, with a fair value of $158.87 against a last close of $106.93, and the Anthropic deal sits right in the middle of that thesis.
The proliferation of AI applications requiring secure, ultra-low-latency infrastructure benefits Akamai's globally distributed platform, as evidenced by new AI Gateway and Firewall for AI offerings. This positioning may enable the company to capture new AI-driven workloads, supporting both future top-line growth and potentially higher net margins via value-added solutions.
See why 35 investors see Akamai Technologies as 33% undervalued.
Result: Fair Value of $158.87 (UNDERVALUED)
Still, this Akamai Technologies story can change quickly if heavy capex tied to Anthropic pressures margins or if a few large cloud contracts slow their ramp-up.
Find out about the key risks to this Akamai Technologies narrative.
Analyst models and fair value work point to Akamai Technologies as undervalued, yet the current P/E of 37.4x already sits well above the US IT industry at 21.4x and even above its own 36x fair ratio. This raises a simple question for you as an investor: how much optimism is already in the price?
For a closer look at how this pricing gap could affect potential future returns in different ways, walk through the detailed valuation work in the See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown..
If this mix of optimism and concern around Akamai Technologies leaves you undecided, move quickly from headlines to hard numbers and pressure test the thesis yourself by weighing both sides of the story in the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
If Akamai Technologies has sharpened your thinking, now is the moment to widen your watchlist with other opportunities before the next wave of setups moves on without you.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com