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Kohl's (KSS) Could Be 4% Undervalued As Earnings Beat Lifts Outlook

Simply Wall St·09/27/2026 18:16:19
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Why Kohl's Stock Is Back in Focus

Kohl's (KSS) jumped back onto investors' radar after reporting earnings with adjusted EPS more than doubling year over year, raising its 2026 outlook, and restarting share repurchases alongside a quarterly dividend.

The recent earnings beat and guidance update have come after a choppy stretch for Kohl's, with the share price down 16.12% year to date even after a 1 day share price return of 3.83% and a 7 day share price return of 8.16%, which point to short term momentum building around the US$17.90 level.

Over a longer horizon, the picture is mixed. A 1 year total shareholder return of 13.63% contrasts with a 5 year total shareholder return that has declined 49.61%. This suggests that recent enthusiasm is being weighed against a tougher multi year track record as investors reassess both earnings potential and risk.

Scan beyond Kohl's and spot other retailers showing similar momentum with our curated list of 32 high quality undervalued stocks.

Kohl's now trades near US$17.90 while analyst targets cluster closer to US$18.73, and one intrinsic estimate implies a far larger gap. Which reference point best reflects fair value after this latest rebound?

Most Popular Narrative: 4% Undervalued

Kohl's is trading at $17.90 against a narrative fair value of $18.69. This suggests only a small valuation gap and puts the focus squarely on execution rather than a wide discount.

Inventory discipline, cost controls (including a 5% reduction in inventory, 4% SG&A decrease, and lower interest/depreciation expense), and cash flow strength have enabled Kohl's to reduce debt and fund growth initiatives, which may protect or expand net margins and support long-term earnings improvement.

See why 27 investors see Kohl's as 4% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of $18.69 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, Kohl's story can change quickly if proprietary brands gain traction or if the Sephora partnership draws more consistent, higher-spending shoppers.

Find out about the key risks to this Kohl's narrative.

Next Steps

Mixed signals around Kohl's can feel messy, so move quickly from headline reactions to your own data driven take by weighing the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Kohl's?

If Kohl's has your attention, do not stop there. Use the same data driven approach to spot other opportunities that fit your style and risk tolerance.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.