Make This 1 Trade Now as the 10-Year Yield Surges and a Fed Rate Hike Looms

December U.S. Treasury bond (ZBZ26) futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

See on the daily bar chart for December T-Bond futures that prices are trending down and have just hit a contract low. The bears have the solid near-term technical advantage and the path of least resistance for prices remains sideways to lower.

Fundamentally, sticky inflation will likely only become more problematic with U.S. gasoline prices above $4.25 a gallon. The Federal Reserve will likely raise U.S. interest rates on Wednesday, and odds are high that the Fed will hike rates one more time this year. These factors are price-bearish for U.S. Treasuries.

A move in December T-Bond futures below chart support at the contract low of 106 1/32 would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be 100 even, or below. Technical resistance, for which to place a protective buy stop just above, is located at 108 12/32.

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%): 

Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you. 

On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.