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To own Data#3, you need to believe in its role as a key local partner for global vendors in cloud, devices and services, despite rising competition and vendor concentration risk. The FY26 result, with higher earnings and a 13.0% full year dividend increase, reinforces the appeal of its recurring, as a service revenue mix, but also highlights a high 90.3% payout ratio, which slightly tightens the short term buffer against business or margin shocks.
The FY26 earnings announcement is the most relevant here, as it links stronger profit (A$54.52 million, up from A$48.19 million) with the higher dividend. For investors focused on the catalyst of growing subscription and recurring revenues, the uplift in earnings per share alongside the increased payout suggests the business is still converting top line growth into cash for shareholders, even as it faces vendor incentive shifts and potential IT services commoditisation.
Yet investors should be aware that such a high dividend payout, combined with reliance on key vendor incentives, could become a problem if...
Read the full narrative on Data#3 (it's free!)
Data#3's narrative projects A$4.2 billion revenue and A$68.1 million earnings by 2029. This requires 67.7% yearly revenue growth and about A$19.1 million earnings increase from A$49.0 million today.
Uncover how Data#3's forecasts yield a A$10.05 fair value, a 9% downside to its current price.
Three Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Data#3 range from A$10.05 to A$14.70, underlining how far personal assessments can stretch. Against this spread, the latest FY26 earnings uplift and 90.3% payout ratio sharpen questions about how sustainable returns might be if vendor incentives or IT services margins shift, so it is worth comparing several viewpoints before deciding how the stock fits your own expectations.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Data#3 - why the stock might be worth as much as 33% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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