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To own Deere today, you need to believe that precision agriculture and a broad equipment franchise can still earn attractive returns even when the farm cycle is soft. The latest Q3 beat during an agricultural downturn, together with higher full year net income guidance, supports that view by showing the core business holding up better than many feared. The completion of the long-running US$31.77 billion buyback and affirmation of the US$1.62 quarterly dividend mainly confirm an existing capital return playbook rather than creating a new short term catalyst, especially after a strong share price run. The more pressing swing factors remain the depth and length of the ag equipment downturn, pricing power on high tech equipment and how comfortably Deere can fund shareholder returns if cash generation tightens.
However, investors should be aware of how a prolonged farm downturn could pressure Deere’s cash returns. Deere's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 10%. Find out what it's worth.Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Deere - why the stock might be worth just $685.19!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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