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To own Tabcorp today, you need to believe its mix of digital wagering, retail venues and media can still create acceptable returns despite modest profit margins and strong online competition. The latest full year result, with slightly higher earnings and a small unfranked dividend, supports the idea of a steady, cash generating business but does not materially change the near term catalyst around digital execution or the key risk of structurally pressured wagering volumes and yields.
The most relevant announcement here is the full year 2026 earnings release, which showed revenue of A$2,636.3 million and net income of A$46.3 million. That improvement, alongside the maintained ordinary unfranked dividend of A$0.015 per security for the half year, offers more context for how Tabcorp is funding ongoing technology and retail transformation while still returning cash, a balance that sits at the heart of both its growth catalysts and its execution risk.
Yet behind the higher earnings and ongoing dividends, investors should be aware there is still meaningful risk that wagering volumes and yields could...
Read the full narrative on Tabcorp Holdings (it's free!)
Tabcorp Holdings' narrative projects A$2.9 billion revenue and A$104.7 million earnings by 2029. This requires 2.8% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about A$71.7 million from A$33.0 million today.
Uncover how Tabcorp Holdings' forecasts yield a A$1.03 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
Before this result, the most optimistic analysts were assuming revenue of about A$3.0 billion and earnings near A$111.5 million by 2029, which is a far more upbeat story than the consensus narrative and leans heavily on rollout successes like TAB Live in play betting that may or may not be reinforced by the latest numbers.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Tabcorp Holdings - why the stock might be worth just A$1.03!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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