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To own On Holding, you need to believe the brand can keep turning premium, design-led performance products into sustained demand across shoes and apparel, while scaling DTC profitably. The FP Movement women’s collaboration reinforces that brand and product story, but it does not materially shift the near term catalyst, which is execution on growth and margins after a sharp share price pullback, or the key risk around reliance on premium pricing and hype-driven demand.
Among recent announcements, the August 2026 guidance for low 20% constant currency net sales growth and expanding DTC mix feels most relevant here. Collaborations like FP Movement sit within this broader push to deepen direct relationships with consumers and support margins. If the DTC mix continues to rise alongside disciplined cost control, it could help offset risks from higher input costs or any softening in wholesale channels, especially in regions where expectations have been reset.
Yet beneath the headline collaboration, investors should be aware of the tension between premium pricing, changing consumer appetite, and what happens if...
Read the full narrative on On Holding (it's free!)
On Holding’s narrative projects CHF5.4 billion revenue and CHF661.8 million earnings by 2029. This requires 19.9% yearly revenue growth and a CHF411.5 million earnings increase from CHF250.3 million today.
Uncover how On Holding's forecasts yield a $52.49 fair value, a 85% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest estimate analysts were already assuming slower revenue growth to about CHF 4.9 billion and earnings of roughly CHF 526.5 million by 2029, so if you believe apparel and women focused collaborations can support premium pricing while others fear normalization, this new FP Movement drop could eventually shift how pessimistic or optimistic those expectations look.
Explore 15 other fair value estimates on On Holding - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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