Groupama AM says rise in US long-term yields reflects growth, term-premium normalization, not debt fears

• Groupama AM attributed the rise in US 10-year yields mainly to growth repricing and a normalizing term premium, not fiscal stress.
• It estimated about one-third of the move came from a higher growth premium, consistent with a higher real neutral rate near 1.5%.
• Roughly two-thirds was tied to a rebound in the term premium, with added uncertainty around US monetary policy.
• Groupama AM warned sustained yields near current levels would strain households, worsen public-debt dynamics, and pressure equity valuations.
• It flagged rising vulnerability in Treasuries due to leveraged hedge-fund arbitrage, citing gross exposure of USD 4 trillion in 2025.

Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Groupama Asset Management SA published the original content used to generate this news brief on August 26, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.