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Hansen Technologies (ASX:HSN) Could Be 27% Undervalued On Full Year Results And InvoiceCloud Deal

Simply Wall St·08/21/2026 08:30:32
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Hansen Technologies (ASX:HSN) has become a focus after its full year 2026 results and comments on capital allocation, alongside a new InvoiceCloud partnership that targets billing and digital payments for utilities.

See our latest analysis for Hansen Technologies.

Despite the InvoiceCloud partnership and fresh commentary on buybacks and M&A, Hansen Technologies' share price has come under pressure, with the stock down 31% on a 90 day share price return basis and its 1 year total shareholder return also in decline. This suggests sentiment has cooled even as investors reassess growth potential and capital deployment plans.

If you are weighing Hansen Technologies against other opportunities in the broader utilities and infrastructure theme, it can help to scan companies plugged into the energy transition and grid upgrades and see how they compare through the 39 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks

After a 31% slide over 90 days, Hansen Technologies trades a long way from both analyst targets and some intrinsic value estimates. Is the gap pointing to mispricing, or simply marking where fair value now sits?

Most Popular Narrative: 26.7% Undervalued

Against a last close of A$3.26, the most followed narrative puts Hansen Technologies' fair value at A$4.45, using a specific set of revenue, margin and valuation assumptions that differ from recent share price moves.

The bearish analysts expect earnings to reach A$56.3 million (and earnings per share of A$0.27) by about August 2029, up from A$47.8 million today. However, there is some disagreement amongst the analysts with the more bullish ones expecting earnings as high as A$72.4 million.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to understand why a slower revenue profile still supports a higher earnings base and a richer P/E in this narrative? The crux lies in how margins, share count and discount rate are woven together to justify that fair value path while analysts disagree on just how far earnings can stretch.

Result: Fair Value of A$4.45 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, Hansen Technologies still faces risks from higher regulatory compliance costs and rising SaaS competition, which could pressure margins and challenge the current fair value narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Hansen Technologies narrative.

Next Steps

Is the mood around Hansen Technologies too cautious or not cautious enough right now? Act quickly, review both the concerns and the potential upsides, then weigh them against the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Hansen Technologies?

Do not stop your research with Hansen Technologies. Broaden your watchlist now so you are not the investor looking back wishing you had checked what else was on offer.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.