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To own Essent Group, you need to be comfortable with a business tied to US mortgage activity and the health of first-time homebuyer demand. The latest results show higher revenue and earnings per share but slightly lower net income, which does not materially change the near term focus on housing affordability as a key catalyst or the risk of weaker policy volumes if that pressure persists.
Among the recent announcements, the completion of the US$348 million buyback, retiring 6.19% of shares, is most relevant here. It supports the recent uplift in earnings per share, but investors still need to weigh this against the risk that slower home price growth could increase claims and pressure future profitability.
Yet behind the higher per share earnings, investors should be aware that Essent’s exposure to housing affordability and claim trends could...
Read the full narrative on Essent Group (it's free!)
Essent Group's narrative projects $1.6 billion revenue and $646.7 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Essent Group's forecasts yield a $72.00 fair value, a 4% upside to its current price.
One Simply Wall St Community member currently pegs Essent’s fair value at US$167.80 per share, highlighting how far personal estimates can stretch from market pricing. Where these views meet the risk of housing affordability constraining mortgage insurance demand, you are encouraged to examine several perspectives before forming your own outlook.
Explore another fair value estimate on Essent Group - why the stock might be worth just $167.80!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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