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To own American States Water, you need to be comfortable backing a California-focused regulated utility that leans on steady rate base investment, military contracts and a long dividend track record. The latest quarter’s higher earnings and 8.2% dividend lift support that thesis, but do not remove the key short term risk that changing consumption patterns and supply costs could introduce more earnings volatility after the recent CPUC decision.
The most relevant recent announcement here is the Q2 2026 earnings release, which showed stronger revenue and EPS alongside management’s plan to invest US$185 million to US$220 million in regulated-utility infrastructure this year. That spending ties directly into the main catalyst of growing the rate base and supporting long run earnings power, while still sitting against the backdrop of regulatory and weather related risks to near term results.
Yet behind the higher dividend and recent earnings strength, investors should be aware of how reduced revenue decoupling could...
Read the full narrative on American States Water (it's free!)
American States Water’s narrative projects $763.8 million revenue and $167.1 million earnings by 2029. This requires 4.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $34 million earnings increase from $133.1 million today.
Uncover how American States Water's forecasts yield a $76.00 fair value, a 13% downside to its current price.
Two members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for American States Water between US$65.09 and US$76 per share, underlining how far opinions can stretch. Set against this, the increased exposure to consumption driven earnings swings after the CPUC decision could shape how you weigh those valuation views against the company’s future stability and performance.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on American States Water - why the stock might be worth as much as $76.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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