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To own Comcast, you need to be comfortable with a story where a mature broadband and cable business funds growth in wireless, parks, and digital media, while competition and pricing changes test that core. The latest quarter underscored this tension, with solid profits but continued broadband subscriber losses. Recent network expansions and business-focused offerings support the near term catalyst around wireless and bundled growth, but they do little to reduce the central risk from ongoing broadband pressure.
The July expansion of Comcast Business services in Waterbury fits this picture. It highlights how Comcast is leaning into higher value connectivity, adding symmetrical internet, cybersecurity, and mobile for commercial customers after investing over US$80,000 million in its network over the past decade. For investors watching wireless and bundled services as key offsets to broadband softness, these expansions show how capital spending today is tied directly to that thesis being tested in real time.
Yet behind the strong wireless story, the risk that broadband competition and pricing resets quietly reshape Comcast’s earnings power is something investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Comcast (it's free!)
Comcast’s narrative projects $122.5 billion revenue and $11.1 billion earnings by 2029. This assumes fairly flat yearly revenue and a decrease in earnings of $7.7 billion from $18.8 billion today.
Uncover how Comcast's forecasts yield a $31.90 fair value, a 33% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest estimate analysts paint a far more cautious picture, with revenue shrinking about 1.6% a year to roughly US$118.9 billion and earnings slipping to about US$9.7 billion, and when you compare that to concerns about saturated broadband and rising content costs around this latest earnings report, it is a reminder that your view of Comcast can differ sharply from others and that both the consensus and the bear case may need updating as new information lands.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Comcast - why the stock might be worth 12% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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