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To own Chemed, you need to be comfortable with a story built around stable hospice demand at VITAS and cash generation from Roto Rooter, while accepting reimbursement and volume risks in both. The latest earnings beat and ongoing buybacks support that cash generation narrative, but the biggest near term swing factor now is how the board responds to Barington’s activist push. The key risk remains pressure on VITAS’s Medicare driven economics, which this news does not materially change.
The most relevant update is Chemed’s second quarter 2026 result, with net income of US$67.7 million and diluted EPS from continuing operations of US$5.13, up from US$3.57 a year ago. This earnings strength, alongside an active buyback that has retired more than 12.57 million shares for US$2.91 billion, provides a stronger backdrop as the board weighs Barington’s calls for a strategic review and cost reductions that could meaningfully affect future capital allocation priorities.
Yet investors should also be aware that if Medicare reimbursement rules shift again or admission patterns change unexpectedly, especially in Florida...
Read the full narrative on Chemed (it's free!)
Chemed’s narrative projects $3.1 billion revenue and $397.9 million earnings by 2029. This requires 6.3% yearly revenue growth and a $122.9 million earnings increase from $275.0 million today.
Uncover how Chemed's forecasts yield a $501.50 fair value, a 6% downside to its current price.
Before this news, the most optimistic analysts were assuming Chemed could lift earnings to about US$417.5 million by 2029, which is far more upbeat than consensus and rests heavily on smoother Medicare cap exposure and admission mix improvements; the latest activist pressure and Q2 beat could either reinforce or challenge that view, so it is worth comparing these best case assumptions with more cautious scenarios.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Chemed - why the stock might be worth as much as 28% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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