TD Cowen cut its price target on SharpLink Gaming (NASDAQ:SBET) from $16 to $13 on Thursday, blaming the CLARITY Act delays for pushing back the tokenization timeline that underpins the bull case.
Analysts Lance Vitanza and Jonnathan Navarrete said in a note cited by The Block that the direct driver is their ETH price model, not anything company-specific.
Their year-end 2026 Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) forecast dropped from roughly $3,650 to $2,371, mechanically pulling the SBET price target down with it.
Multi-year forecasts were also trimmed, with 2027 cut to $3,347, 2028 to $4,554, and 2029 to $5,969.
The analysts explicitly blamed slower-than-anticipated progress on the tokenization regulatory framework, pointing to Clarity Act delays as the key factor pushing back their timeline.
TD Cowen kept its Buy rating intact, with the $13 target implying roughly 103% upside from SBET’s July 30 close of $6.41.
TD Cowen applied the same lower crypto price deck logic across its entire digital asset treasury coverage on the same day, cutting Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) to $350 from $440.
Two other firms have made similar moves in recent weeks.
| Firm | Stock | Old Target | New Target |
| TD Cowen | SBET | $16 | $13 |
| Citizens JMP | SBET | $40 | $30 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | SBET | $10.50 | $8.10 |
Every cut is pointing at the same two variables: a lower ETH price expectation and CLARITY Act delays pushing back the tokenization timeline.
TD Cowen’s note was a trimmed number, not a bear call. The firm pointed to SharpLink’s June capital moves as evidence the company is executing its treasury strategy regardless of where the price deck sits.
| Action | Detail |
| Registered-direct raise | $75 million |
| ETH purchase | 10,000 ETH |
| Share buyback | 2 million+ shares at $4.69 average |
Under the updated framework, TD Cowen projects SharpLink’s ETH treasury reaching roughly 940,000 ETH by year-end 2026, with net asset value of $9.13 per share against a stock currently trading at $6.41 — a 42% discount to NAV at current price.
Meanwhile, SharpLink reports Q2 results on August 10, the same day the Senate leaves for recess, making the earnings call a direct read on how management views the Clarity Act delay.
SBET is down 8% on Friday, pulling back after failing to hold above the $6.20 to $6.30 descending trendline that has capped every rally since February.
The Supertrend flipped green at $5.23, the only constructive signal, while the 20-day and 50-day EMAs cluster together near $5.95 to $5.96 as near-term support.
A break above $6.63 completes the cup formation with a target toward $8. Failing here puts $5.23 back in play.
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