Last week saw the newest quarterly earnings release from Trustmark Corporation (NASDAQ:TRMK), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of US$211m were in line with what the analysts predicted, Trustmark surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$1.08 per share, a notable 12% above expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Trustmark's five analysts is for revenues of US$848.5m in 2026. This would reflect a modest 4.0% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be US$4.03, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$850.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.91 in 2026. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.
See our latest analysis for Trustmark
The consensus price target was unchanged at US$49.25, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Trustmark at US$54.25 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$47.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Trustmark is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Trustmark's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 8.2% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.0% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 7.8% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Trustmark is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Trustmark following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$49.25, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Trustmark analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You can also view our analysis of Trustmark's balance sheet, and whether we think Trustmark is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.
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